Mr. Billy Locks here,
My first blog for PSE. I hope to bring some good content to the site. Let’s get right into it and start off with some week 9 NFL picks.
+18.9 units on the NFL year.
Against the spread:
The Chiefs are playing the Carolina Panthers. It’s hard to bet against Teddy Bridgewater, king of covering the spread, but I feel like Patrick Mahomes in a noon spot covers the 9.5 point spread against the Panthers. Easy Sunday noon game for the Chiefs, I see them covering this game without many eyes watching.
Tom Brady has shown this year that he’s not washed up quite yet. Although I think he’s shown a lot of skill so far this year, I see this as a great spot for the New Orleans Saints to make a stand. I’m not sure they’ll win, but I do believe they’ve got the strength to cover. Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders look to be back for the Saints which is huge for them. I won’t predict a Saints win but look for them to cover the +4.5 spread.
Raiders against the Chargers this week. I feel as if this spread is a bit misleading. The Raiders should be the obvious favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers team. 4-3 against 2-5 with the Chargers fresh off a loss to the Broncos. It’s a distracting line, but I feel like the Raiders, who beat the Chiefs just a few weeks ago, should at least cover this line against the Chargers.
Washington Football Team -3
I almost have no reasoning for this pick. I kind of go with the notion that betting against the New York Giants is always a good idea, but they did play decent in their prime time spot last week. I’d be cautious with Washington -3, I just favor them in this spot because, well… it’s the Giants..
It’s the goddamn Ravens for crying out loud. They might have barely beaten the Eagles and then lost to the Steelers in the last couple weeks, but this is a team led by Lamar Jackson. They love to beat up on the bad teams and play alongside the good teams. I believe the Colts are better on paper than they actually are and think the Ravens are the sure bet here.
Parlay bets (2-1 in the last 2 weeks):
- Titans -295
- Cardinals -210
- Patriots -480
- Texans -295
- Buccaneers -220
This seems a bit too obvious which makes it seem like a for sure loss, but I like these matchups to at least take the win (moneyline). 1 unit to win 3.65. +365
Anytime TD parlay:
- Alvin Kamara -115
- Stefon Diggs +115
- Travis Kelce -105
- Keenan Allen +115
- James Robinson -125
I won a 5 leg anytime TD scorer parlay last week so I have to come back with one this week. Alvin Kamara (-115) hasn’t scored a touchdown in 3 weeks. He is the #1 fantasy running back and a huge part of the Saints offense and is most definitely due to score. Stefon Diggs hasn’t seen the endzone in 2 weeks and is facing a weak Seahawks defense. Travis Kelce, the #1 fantasy TE is facing a middle of the pack defense, this is more of a gut feeling that he’ll find the endzone. Keenan Allen, who caught a touchdown last week, is questionable but is a top target for the emerging QB Justin Herbert. James Robinson is a man that came out of nowhere and has dominated his role with the Jags. He plays the 29th ranked run defense in Houston this week, look for him to get a TD.
This is a +2937 parlay so don’t put too much thought into it.
YTD NFL Results: 37-42 +18.99u