This week is going to be all about the stats. I wasn’t able to sit down and watch a lot of the games last weekend so I’m taking some historical analysis into this week’s picks. We’ll see if it pays off.
Week 10: 3-7, -4.19u
NFL YTD: 43-53, +13.63u
Week 11 picks:
In the last 10 seasons, the Cincinnati Bengals are 31-17-2 ATS as an underdog on the road.
They are 5-0 ATS this season coming off of a loss.
The Washington Football Team is 0-4 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2018 season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 1-10 ATS as a double-digit road favorite under coach Mike Tomlin.
Home underdogs of 10 or more points are 3-0-1 ATS this season.
Steelers/Jags Under 46
The Under has hit in 13 of the last 14 games when Steelers are double-digit favorites
Houston Texans are 2-7 ATS this season, 1-5 following a loss.
The Miami Dolphins are 16-5 ATS since week 5 last season, covering by an average of 10.7 points per game this season.
Miami is 7-1 ATS against Denver in the last 20 seasons.
The Broncos are 0-10 ATS since 2005 when hosting Florida teams.
Under Matt LaFleur, The Packers are 5-1 SU and ATS as a road underdog.
They are 4-1 ATS on the road this season.
In the last 9 games after not covering, the Packers are 9-0 ATS and SU, winning by an average of 13 points.
Since the start of last season, they are 5-0 ATS in a dome, averaging 32 points per game.
The Vikings are 41-22-1 ATS as a favorite under Mike Zimmer.
They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
They are 41-20-2 ATS in November or later since 2013.
They are 5-0 ATS against Dallas since 2009
They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games coming off of fewer than 6 days of rest.
The Dallas Cowboys are 1-8 ATS this season.
Since 2017, teams coming off of a bye week (Cowboys) are 1-9 SU and ATS against teams coming off Monday games (Vikings).
Eagles/Browns Under 47.5
In the Eagles last 14 games in November, 12 have gone under.
TD Scorer Parlay +2596
- Tee Higgins
- Adrian Peterson
- Calvin Ridley
- Nick Chubb
Moneyline Parlay +406