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Thursday Night Football odds, line: Colts vs. Titans picks, predictions from top NFL expert

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The Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts square off in an AFC South contest on Thursday Night Football. Tennessee holds the division lead with a 6-2 record, and its performance was boosted by a home win over the Chicago Bears last week. Indianapolis is aiming for an important win, entering with a 5-3 record following a lopsided home loss to the Baltimore Ravens. The Titans boast a point differential of plus-3.9 this season, slightly lower than the Colts’ plus-6.

Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the game as a pick’em after the line opened at Titans -1.5. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 48.5 in the latest Colts vs. Titans odds. Before making any Titans vs. Colts picks or NFL predictions, check out what SportsLine’s resident Indianapolis expert, R.J White, has to say.

CBS Sports’ NFL editor, White enters Week 10 on a sizzling 31-21 run. It’s no surprise, as White twice has cashed huge in the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest.

White has a particularly keen eye for the Colts. In fact, he is an impressive 28-15 in his last 43 picks for or against the Colts. Anyone who has followed his NFL picks is way up.

Now, White has looked at Colts vs. Titans from every possible angle. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Titans vs. Colts

  • Colts vs. Titans spread: PK
  • Colts vs. Titans over-under: 48.5 points
  • Colts vs. Titans money line: Titans -105, Colts -115
  • INDY: Colts are 4-4 against the spread in 2020
  • TEN: Over has hit in five of eight Titans games this season

Latest Odds: Colts -1

Why the Colts can cover

The Colts are a lights-out defensive team, which should bring confidence even against a potent Titans offense. Indianapolis has more interceptions (11) than touchdown passes allowed (10) this season, and the Colts sit atop the NFL in total defense (290.0 yards allowed per game) and passer rating allowed (78.5).

Xavier Rhodes is a standout on the backend, ranking in the top ten of the NFL with nine passes defended, and the Colts are loaded with defensive talent.

Why the Titans can cover

Running back Derrick Henry is, in many ways, the centerpiece of the Titans’ offense. He ranks in the top three of the NFL in rushing yards (843), total yards from scrimmage (924), and rushing touchdowns (eight).

Veteran quarterback Ryan Tannehill has 19 passing touchdowns, a top-five mark in the NFL, and appears in the top six in passer rating, interception rate, and total interceptions.

Tennessee extends drives with the best of the NFL, converting 46.4 percent of its third down chances. The Titans are averaging 29.0 points per game, good for eighth-best in the league this season.

How to make Colts vs. Titans picks

White has analyzed this matchup, and while he’s leaning under on the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing it here. 

So who wins Titans vs. Colts on Thursday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back?

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