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The 17th-ranked SMU Mustangs try to remain a top contender for the AAC title when they visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave on Friday evening. The Mustangs had a week off after a big 30-27 victory against then-No. 25 Memphis to open their American Athletic Conference

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slate, and Shane Buechele has the SMU offense humming. SMU (4-0, 1-0) defeated the Green Wave 37-20 last season on its way to its first double-digit-win season since 1984. Tulane (2-2, 0-2) relies heavily on its running game, while Buechele’s arm largely dictates the success for the Mustangs. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET in New Orleans. William Hill lists the Mustangs as a 6.5-point favorite in the latest SMU vs. Tulane college football odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 66. Before making any Tulane vs. SMU picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 23-6 on top-rated picks through five weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning almost $1,300 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on SMU vs. Tulane. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Tulane vs. SMU:

  • SMU vs. Tulane spread: Mustangs -6.5
  • SMU vs. Tulane over-under: 66
  • SMU vs. Tulane money line: Mustangs -230, Green Wave +195
  • SMU: Shane Buechele is 14-3 since becoming the starting quarterback.
  • TUL: The team rushed for more than 200 yards in seven of its past nine games. CBSSPORTS.COM

Why SMU can cover

The Mustangs are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, and they have no problems far surpassing that number. The SMU offense averages 558.8 yards per game (fourth in FBS) and scores an average of 44 points (fifth). Buechele threw for 474 yards and three touchdowns against Memphis to give the former Texas transfer 1,326 yards (second in the nation) and 10 touchdowns this season.  

SMU is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 after rushing for less than 100 yards in their previous game, and the Mustangs generate an average of 219.5 per game on the ground (12th in FBS). Ulysses Bentley was held to 32 yards against Memphis but averages 8.4 per carry and has 412 yards this season. The defense is led by linebacker Delano Robinson (31 tackles), and cornerback Brandon Crossley has two interceptions for a unit that has 11 sacks and nine takeaways. 

Why Tulane can cover

The Green Wave are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight home games, and the offense should be able to move the ball on the ground against SMU. The Mustangs allow 164.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 51st in FBS, while Tulane is ninth in the nation in rushing at 241.3. Powerful sophomore running back Cameron Carroll leads the way with 285 yards and seven touchdowns, while senior Stephon Huderson has averaged 7.1 yards on his 25 rushes.

Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS loss, and the Green Wave come in off a 49-31 loss to Houston despite forcing five turnovers. Defensively, Patrick Johnson is an NFL prospect who has five of the team’s 14 sacks. Linebackers Marvin Moody and Dorian Williams share the team lead with 31 tackles, and Williams has two sacks. In the secondary, Jaylon Monroe has batted down four passes and safety Macon Clark has two interceptions.

How to make SMU vs. Tulane picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with projections showing both running games having plenty of success and Buechele having another big night. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins SMU vs. Tulane? And which side of the spread hits nearly 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Tulane vs. SMU spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,200 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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