NFL

Patriots Super Bowl Faves No more?

Baltimore Ravens Surpass New England Patriots as the team to beat in Super Bowl LIV betting markets across top-rated sports betting sites, including nitrogen sports. Do the bookmakers have it right? 

Going into week 12, the Patriots were still dubbed the team to beat – a favorable betting outlook that’s been their principality since preseason markets went to press and for good reason. After all, they were the defending champions and they are holders of six Super Bowl titles. 

What’s more, three consecutive trips to the big game in the last three years and two of three Super Bowl championships for Bill Belichick and Terrific Tom only underscored their NFL odds further.

Yet, as the dust settled on NFL week 12, markets reopened with the Baltimore Ravens nosing ahead ever so slightly on the NFL odds board as the team to beat in the AFC and, ultimately, the favorites to win Super Bowl LIV outright. 

What happened to prompt this sudden redressal of NFL futures was an eye-popping 45-6 win by the Baltimore Ravens over the Los Angeles Rams at the Coliseum on Monday Night Football. 

It was a ruthless evisceration of Sean McVay’s lambs and saw Lamar Jackson depositing one of the most comprehensive Monday Night Football showdowns ever, highlighted by 5TDs. The scary prospect was he could have had more had he not kicked up his feet for the better part of the fourth quarter after calling it a night and allowing RGIII to have a go. Job done. 

In beating the Rams, Baltimore completed the coup over last year’s Super Bowl finalists. (In week 9, John Harbaugh’s lads dealt Bill Belichick and the Patriots their first loss of the season.) And NFL betting markets had to take stock. 

Of course, one cannot NOT take stock of what the Ravens are doing and reward them in kind. In particular, when Tom Brady and the Patriots are yet to enjoy a statement win this season. A gauntlet throwing win that would signal their intentions in the postseason.

It’s no secret Brady is one unhappy bunny, frustrated with his team’s lack of offensive might.

He has only 15TDs on the season and two in his last three games. Other stats look similarly listless.

The future Hall of Famer is genuinely happy to give credit where it is due – praise the defense and special teams for New England’s strong 10-1 SU record and first place in the AFC standings – but one gets the sense he’d love it if the offense were getting some of the praise too.

Perhaps, in week 13’s clash with the Houston Texans, Brady will figure things out and the offense will enjoy a solid enough outing to appease the worrywarts. Past trends point to a big win over the Bill O’Brien Texans, a side that Belichick has practically owned home and away (9-1 SU in the last ten meetings, including an eight-game winning streak.)

Yet, even if Brady and the offense don’t exactly light it up at the NRG Stadium or, for that matter, in their remaining five games of the 2019 regular season, Patriots fans shouldn’t be worried. So long as the Patriots are winning, it really doesn’t matter if Brady tosses for five touchdowns or not. 

The most important advantage the Patriots have is home field advantage where they’re nigh unbeatable, and securing top seed will go a long way towards securing that advantage in the postseason and, in turn, potentially redressing Super Bowl LIV markets.

Inasmuch as flashy football is delightful to watch and lighting up the scoreboard is highly entertaining for viewers, it’s not the be-all-and-end-all.  Teams have to be solid in all facets of the game in order to win and there’s good reason to suggest that’s what the 10-1 SU Patriots exactly are this season. Solid.  

In 2017, the Patriots lost Super Bowl LII to Nick Foles and the Philadelphia Eagles, in what was a highly offensive, absorbing and totally eye-catching title game that many fans felt was the perfect epilogue to the sensational 2016 Super Bowl showdown with the Falcons. Well, except for the losing part of it.

Belichick and the Patriots clearly didn’t enjoy it though. Too stressful maybe to be mired in a shootout. And so, the world was treated to the most defensive-minded Super Bowl ever when the Patriots defeated the Los Angeles Rams 13-3.  The total yawn of a game became the lowest scoring finale in the history of the NFL.

So, in short, elite quarterbacking, experience, coaching nous and championship credentials make a team worthy of a Super Bowl bet. And the Patriots have that and more, well above the rest. And until proven otherwise, that makes New England the better bet to win Super Bowl LIV despite the NFL odds.

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